Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 5.120939 5.559442 6.046998 6.635417 7.334941 8.151575 9.195295
2025-01-26 4.718006 5.327521 6.058043 7.021657 8.299231 10.002283 12.583753
2025-02-02 4.587321 5.377642 6.397688 7.876803 10.104843 13.644836 20.667409
2025-02-09 4.315056 5.204759 6.421957 8.333864 11.576970 17.796479 35.660227
2025-02-16 4.039124 4.984805 6.342315 8.629437 12.977148 23.267167 77.219191
2025-02-23 3.771425 4.739212 6.183360 8.765595 14.218881 30.462493 377.954746
2025-03-02 3.438151 4.359977 5.763158 8.352773 14.157471 34.264991 NaN
2025-03-09 3.214991 4.121052 5.533335 8.242874 14.802754 43.277883 NaN
2025-03-16 2.961512 3.813202 5.154059 7.769880 14.325842 46.281722 NaN
2025-03-23 2.834560 3.688511 5.065221 7.862260 15.518569 68.719293 NaN
2025-03-30 2.694958 3.531794 4.902802 7.768146 16.139443 98.389383 NaN
2025-04-06 2.551616 3.358389 4.693240 7.532664 16.187163 129.976089 NaN
2025-04-13 2.378012 3.139165 4.407118 7.137612 15.716737 162.194243 NaN
2025-04-20 2.326670 3.114134 4.468704 7.565321 18.967646 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.329298 3.178540 4.707992 8.535964 27.290352 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.277958 3.146913 4.759179 9.054323 35.865938 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.213190 3.086229 4.743872 9.388712 46.144651 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.140141 3.004903 4.675107 9.539908 57.423349 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 2.031449 2.852308 4.437739 9.055768 54.519148 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.955172 2.754017 4.309377 8.925009 60.180715 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.858313 2.613241 4.076981 8.378798 53.180984 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.810243 2.558746 4.028900 8.482541 65.856950 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.752917 2.483944 3.928924 8.373226 73.053887 NaN NaN